Texas isnโ€™t likely to be the next Colorado or California. The state almost certainly wonโ€™t be the next one to legalize recreational marijuana use. But there are signs that both the public opinion and political calculus on pot are shifting in Texas, with advocates hopeful that those shifts could yield significant progress during next yearโ€™s legislative session.

For over a decade, Texas lawmakers have filed bills aimed at weakening Texas’ rigid marijuana laws. Those always went nowhere until 2015, when Gov.ย Greg Abbottย signed the Compassionate Use Act, whichย legalized the sale of a specific kind of cannabis oilย for Texans with intractable epilepsy. Three dispensaries have sinceย opened in Texasย to produce and sell the oil.

Though no further pro-marijuana bills passed during the next session in 2017,ย last monthโ€™s state Republican and Democratic conventionsย gave advocates a new reason for optimism.

At the GOP convention in San Antonio, attendees approvedย for the first timeย a plank in the party’s platform supporting “a change in the law to make it a civil, and not a criminal, offense for legal adults only to possess one ounce or less of marijuana for personal use.” Even Democrats โ€” whoโ€™ve advocated for marijuana decriminalization in their platform since 2012 โ€” tweaked their platform at this year’s convention in Fort Worth to call for full legalization.

The new language for both parties not only signals a change in public perception, but is prompting advocates to wonder whether marijuana will become more of a hot-button issue ahead of the 2018 general election andย next yearโ€™s legislative session.

โ€œMarijuana is definitely something weโ€™re going to see being talked about more and more,โ€ said Heather Fazio, the coalition coordinator for Texans for Responsible Marijuana Policy. โ€œThe public is in favor of seeing marijuana laws reformed and weโ€™re already seeing candidates start to talk about it.โ€

Shift coming from GOP grassroots

According to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll, more than half of the stateโ€™s registered voters believe marijuana should be legalized in the state. Only 16 percent said possession of marijuana should remain illegal under any circumstances.

Most Texas Democrats running for office are in favor of reforming the stateโ€™s marijuana laws โ€” with many supportive of legalizing the substance for personal use. William Kelly, a sociology professor at the University of Texas at Austin, said voters would be hard-pressed to find a Democrat who isnโ€™t in favor of more lax marijuana laws because most members of the minority party view drug and marijuana issues as a public health issue rather than criminal justice one.

โ€œ[Democrats] have concluded that weโ€™ve gotten essentially nowhere with our drug policy in terms of trying to punish drug use and addiction out of people,โ€ Kelly said. โ€œI think the broader failures of the war on drugs and the relative popularity of the recreational use of marijuana is a pretty easy sell for Democrats.โ€

And some Democrats campaigning at the top of the ticket are noticeably upfront about their pro-pot stances. In the gubernatorial race, Democratic nomineeย Lupe Valdezย said she favors decriminalizing marijuana, legalizing it for medical use and seriously discussing full legalization.

โ€œLegalizing it for all forms opens up valuable funding potential, and the citizens of Texas deserve an open conversation about that possibility,โ€ Valdez told The Texas Tribune in an emailed statement. โ€œI would support a movement in the state Legislature to bring this proposition before Texans by referendum through a constitutional amendment and ensure a path to safe, responsible consumption.โ€

Marijuana legalization and the war on drugs has also beenย has been one of many causes of political frictionย in the U.S. Senate race between Republican incumbentย Ted Cruzย and his Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep.ย Beto Oโ€™Rourke. Though he’s personally against legalization, Cruz has said that that issue should be up to each state. Oโ€™Rourke has advocated for legalization since his days on the El Paso City Council, going so far as to write a book in 2011 advocating for ending the federal prohibition on marijuana.

Texas Democrats in favor of legalizing marijuana for non-medical purposes is nothing new. But whatโ€™s come as a shock to politicos is a push for more lax marijuana laws from Republicans, who dominate all levels of state government and havenโ€™t typically been vocal supporters of the issue. At this year’s convention, the party approved five new marijuana-related planks to its platform, including one in support of decriminalizing small amounts for personal use and another asking Congress to re-categorize cannabis as a Schedule 2 substance, rather than Schedule 1, which includes drugs like LSD and heroin.

โ€œThe bottom line is that if something changes, it is because the grassroots activists and delegates wanted it to change,โ€ said Mark Ramsey, a member of the State Republican Executive Committee and chair of the partyโ€™s platform committee.

Ramsey said he was not aware of any dialogue with the governorโ€™s office on the partyโ€™s additions to the platform; a spokesman for Abbott didnโ€™t respond to the Tribuneโ€™s request for comment on reducing criminal penalties for individuals with small amounts of marijuana. As a candidate for governor in 2014,ย he opposed legalization, viewing it as encouraging drug use. And ahead of last yearโ€™s legislative session, he reiterated his stance andย told the Tribuneย that lawmakers would not approve legislation that would legalize the plant.

But even some whoโ€™ve previously been opponents of relaxing the stateโ€™s pot laws are showing signs of amending their position. Kevin Lawrence, the executive director of the Texas Municipal Police Association, said his group is opposed to legalization or decriminalization because there is no means to test drivers to determine how affected they are. But as technological advancements increase, he said, thereโ€™s potential for his organization’s position to change.

โ€œThere is still no scientifically accepted, judicially recognized, standardized, field sobriety test for marijuana,โ€ Lawrence said. โ€œWe are hearing that we are close and weโ€™re getting closer and closer to that all the time, and that will probably change our boardโ€™s position on this issue when that day comes.”

“Right now, our concern is on the enforcement and putting officers in a position where they canโ€™t enforce the laws on the books,” he added.

Kelly, the UT-Austin professor, said itโ€™s relatively harmless politically for Republicans to add a decriminalization plank to their platform because โ€œthere is majority support for loosening the criminal consequences for marijuana.โ€

โ€œAs far as the politics of it, they see it as something that will not catch a lot of flack from their base,โ€ Kelly said.

โ€œLetโ€™s get this on the governorโ€™s deskโ€

While marijuana has yet to become a prominent issue in the upcoming general elections, advocates are hopeful itโ€™ll make a splash in 2019. Various groups are likely to urge legislators to consider a range of proposals, including legalizing marijuana for medicinal purposes, lessening criminal penalties for those found with small amounts of the drug, or going one step further and having Texas join theย 22 other states that have decriminalized small amounts of the drug.

State Rep.ย James White, a Republican from Hillister,ย sponsored a measure last sessionย that wouldโ€™ve created a specialty court for certain first-time marijuana possession offenders. Though it failed to gain traction, he’s hopeful it’s a change in the state’s policy more members of his party can get behind, noting that someone possessing a small amount of marijuana in their homes are “not endangering the public safety of their fellow citizens.”

โ€œ[Republicans] may disagree with the use of marijuana, but we want to make sure that any punishment associated with possession is coherent with its impact on public safety,โ€ he added.

Marc Levin, the vice president of criminal justice policy for the Texas Public Policy Foundation, said the conservative think tankย has supported reducing criminal penalties for those found with small amounts of potย for several sessions. He added that TPPFโ€™s own polling showed most Texans agree with them on the issue.

โ€œThere was a poll that we released a couple of months ago โ€ฆ and it did show the majority of Texans โ€” and the majority of Republican primary voters in Texas โ€” supported some sort of change to existing law,โ€ Levin said. โ€œVoters either want to reduce criminal [penalties] or to go further. Thereโ€™s no doubt thereโ€™s been a change in societal attitudes, and conservatives and Republicans have been a big part of that.โ€

Lawmakers, too, are already preparing for howย shifting public opinion on marijuanaย could play out next year. State Rep.ย Eddie Lucio III, D-Brownsville, previously told the Tribune he plans to re-file aย measureย that failed last sessionย which wouldโ€™ve expanded the Compassionate Use Actย and allowed the use of medical cannabis for qualifying patients with debilitating medical conditions such as terminal cancer and post-traumatic stress disorder. The bill never made it to the House floor for a vote last year despite having nearly 80 representatives signed on as supporters.

โ€œItโ€™s obviously more realistic this measure can pass in 2019. Youโ€™re going to find that a majority of voters in both parties support an expansion of the Compassionate Use Act,โ€ said state Sen.ย Josรฉ Menรฉndez, a San Antonio Democrat and the Senate sponsor of Lucioโ€™s measure. โ€œIโ€™m ready to move, Iโ€™m ready to have a hearing and Iโ€™m ready for my constituents to have their voices heard.โ€

โ€œLetโ€™s get this on the governorโ€™s desk,โ€ he added.

And with renewed faith in bipartisan support for some pro-pot measures, Texas Democrats say theyโ€™re also hopeful that they can pass a decriminalization bill. State Rep.ย Joe Moody, D-El Paso, has filed decriminalization measures for the past two legislative sessions to no avail. But heโ€™s more confident heading into next year.

โ€œTo see [the decriminalization plank] succeed in the Republican partyโ€™s platform means that there is a broader consensus about that policy shift, and that, in and of itself, is going to create some sense of momentum within the Legislature,โ€ Moody said. โ€œThat certainly does give me a greater sense of hope heading into 2019.โ€

And other lawmakers say Moody has good reason to be optimistic.

โ€œI think thereโ€™s a lot of room for some bipartisan agreement,โ€ White said. โ€œI look forward to having those discussions with all of my colleagues on both sides of the aisle and actually getting something done.โ€

This article was written byย ALEX SAMUELSย ofย The Texas Tribune. ย The Texas Tribuneย is a nonpartisan, nonprofit media organization that informs Texans โ€” and engages with them โ€“ about public policy, politics, government and statewide issues. ย This article originally appeared at:ย ย https://www.texastribune.org/2018/07/26/texas-legalize-marijuana-2019-legislative-session/

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